中文摘要：

過去研究多將社會解組與機會觀點分開討論，或僅是綜合以上二觀點，將可能的影響因子放進研究分析，卻鮮少討論機會觀點、社會解組與集體效能之關聯，以及影響地區犯罪的機制。本研究將探討影響里住宅竊盜犯罪率的社會解組以及機會觀點因素，以及集體效能分別在社會解組理論與機會觀點脈絡下的作用，並探討社會解組是否透過被害機會，進而造成里住宅竊盜犯罪率的差異？本研究之資料來源為用內政部社會經濟資料服務平台、政府資料開放平台，以及臺北市政府警察局等官方次級資料，建構本研究所需之變項，並採用OLS迴歸方法分析。本研究發現集體效能並無法中介貧窮和人口流動性對住宅竊盜率的影響，卻可以調節地區單獨生活戶數比例對住宅竊盜率的影響，在高集體效能的里，可以降低其對住宅竊盜的預測力，低集體效能的里則無。最後，單獨生活戶數比中介貧窮和人口流動性對住宅竊盜的影響，貧窮和高人口流動率，透過單獨生活戶數比例高的被害風險特性，影響里的住宅竊盜犯罪率。

英文摘要：

In literatures, scholars used to discuss social disorganization and opportunity theory separately, at most, they combined relative variables into one simple research framework. However, the relationship between opportunity, social disorganization, collective efficacy, and mechanisms of the formation of crime variations across place were rarely discussed. This study investigates social organization and opportunity factors that influence the residential burglary rates of neighborhoods, and the role of collective efficacy in disorganization and opportunity context. This study further argues the influence of social disorganization on the residential burglary rates of neighborhoods is mediated by victimization opportunity. Using official secondary data from Social Economic Database of the Ministry of the Interior, from the government open data platform, and from Taipei City police department, this study constructs variables based on these data resources. The OLS models show that collective efficacy does not mediate the effects of poverty and residential instability on the crime rates of residential burglary, but it does moderate the effects of “living alone” on the crime rates of residential burglary. Interestingly, in high collective efficacy areas, the crime rates of residential burglary are positively related to living alone, while low areas are not. Finally, the effects of poverty and residential instability on the crime rates of residential burglary are mediated by living alone, which exposes a high risk of victimization.

資料來源：

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