中文摘要:

本研究以臺灣近五十年之官方統計資料來觀察青少年犯罪情況，發現在少年犯罪人數及人口率為上升之趨勢，近十年為下降之走勢。犯罪類型隨著社會及經濟結構變動亦有所改變，且少年犯罪有暴力化及低齡化之傾向，民國八十年代中期後有緩和之現象，而各縣市之少年犯罪人口率及犯罪類型也呈現出差異。最後由迴歸分析發現少年犯罪人口率與離婚率、吉尼係數、司法警政支出比率、就學率及彩色電視機普及率為正相關；與出生率及刑案破獲率為負相關。

英文摘要:

The thesis observes systematically the crimes of youth of Taiwan over the last five decades. Long-term trends of both criminal population and criminal rate are examined. The natures of youth crimes is highly consistent with the development phrases of social-economic structure changes. In particular, the crimes of youth becomes more violent as well as age-junior. Yet Taiwan in 1990s experienced a relatively moderate crimes. Turing to the comparison of regional difference of Taiwan province, there indeed exists difference among counties and municipal regions in terms of crime population as well as crime type. Our empirical estimates show that criminal rate of youth of Taiwan are significantly correlated with family structure represented by divorce rate, the economic status represented by Gini coefficient, the relevant government effort represented by social-safety and judicial budgets plus criminal resolving rate, education represented by student enrollment rate, the diffusion of information represented by colored TV per capita, and demographic trend represented by birth rate. Some policy implications based on our empirical estimation are followed.

資料來源: https://hdl.handle.net/11296/9p83s6