中文摘要：

隨著大數據時代的來臨，身為刑事司法系統最前線的警察機關，應知曉如何運用犯罪分析並根據系統化分析後的資料，研擬治安案件及犯罪的預防策略。本研究首先比較分析臺灣與6個亞洲主要國家2008年至2017年之6種類型的犯罪趨勢，找出我國相較於6個亞洲主要國家犯罪率／每十萬人口被害人數量／每十萬人口查獲重量較高之犯罪，再運用簡單迴歸分析探究臺灣與6個亞洲主要國家相比犯罪率／每十萬人口被害人數量／每十萬人口查獲重量偏高之犯罪，與何種影響犯罪發生因素間之關係性最為顯著，最後根據分析之結果以我國針對犯罪所採用之預防策略為基礎，提出犯罪防制上之建言。
本研究發現如下：
1.臺灣與6個亞洲主要國家在6種犯罪趨勢上之比較：(1)臺灣每十萬人口中之殺人犯罪被害人數量偏高；(2)臺灣強盜罪犯罪率有逐年降低的趨勢且較為偏低；(3)在臺灣所查獲毒品重量未見降低之趨勢但相對偏低；(4)詐欺犯罪缺乏比較對象但臺灣的詐欺罪犯罪率仍屬偏高；(5)臺灣之竊盜犯罪率雖有降低但仍相對偏高；(6)臺灣汽車竊盜犯罪率明顯降低但仍相對偏高。
2.臺灣相較6個亞洲主要國家犯罪率偏高犯罪（殺人、詐欺、竊盜及汽車竊盜）之影響因素分析結果，皆以「社會解組因素」為最具相關性之因素，其中更以「離婚率」具有最為顯著的關係，「失業率」次之。
本研究針對我國犯罪率偏高之犯罪所提出之犯罪預防策略建議如下：
1.從家庭、家人、學校、朋友的關係修復個人之行為。
2.改善國人失業情形並輔導二次就業，降低社會解組衝擊效應。
3.結合民間團體、公司行號舉辦活動並宣導從事正當娛樂。
4.運用家庭、學校、社會等管道教導社會價值觀與法律涵養。
5.服務、預防及問題導向的社區警政工作。

英文摘要：

Along with the coming of the Big Data period, the police, as the first link of the Criminal Justice System, must understand how to utilize the crime analysis technique to establish the prevention strategies of public safety incidents and crime based on the analyzed data. This study compares and analyzes the trends of 6 varieties of crime among Taiwan and 6 Asian main countries from 2008 to 2017 at first to find out the crime whose crime rate/victims’ amount per 100,000 population/seizure weight per 100,000 population in Taiwan is higher than in 6 Asian main countries, and then uses simple regression analysis to research what kind of factor has the most influence on the crime whose crime rate/victims’ amount per 100,000 population/seizure weight per 100,000 population in Taiwan is higher than in 6 Asian main countries. Finally, this study makes suggestions on crime prevention according to the analysis results and based on the prevention strategies against crime adopted by Taiwan authorities.
The findings in this study show below:
1.The comparison of 6 kinds of crime trends among Taiwan and 6 Asian main countries: (1) Taiwan has a relatively high number of homicide victims per 100,000 population; (2) robbery crime rates in Taiwan have decreased gradually year by year and are relatively low; (3) the weights of the seized drug in Taiwan do not have the decreasing trends and are relatively low; (4) fraud crime rates lack comparison targets but Taiwan’s are still relatively high; (5) theft crime rates in Taiwan have declined but are relatively high; (6) car theft crime rates in Taiwan have obviously decreased but are still relatively high.
2.The analysis results of factors which affect the crimes (homicide, fraud, theft, and car theft) whose crime rates in Taiwan are relatively higher than in 6 Asian main countries show that the “social disorganization factor” is the most relevant one. Among them, the “divorce rates” have the most significant relationship, and the “unemployment rates” are the second relevant factor.
This study makes suggestions on the prevention strategies against the crimes whose crime rates are higher in Taiwan, and shows below:
1.Revising personal behaviors through the relationships of home, family, school, and friend;
2.Improving the unemployment condition of citizens and providing guidances for secondary employment to reduce the impact of social disorganization;
3.Hosting activities with private organizations and corporations and promoting proper entertainment;
4.Teaching social values and norms as well as juristic attainment via the approaches of family, school, and society, etc.;
5.Service-, prevention- and problem-oriented community policing.

文章連結：

https://hdl.handle.net/11296/f8qcdy

資料來源：

臺灣博碩士論文知識加值系統